Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 3.282531 3.476273 3.681603 3.916483 4.179069 4.465183 4.802700
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 2.955960 3.207522 3.486183 3.820983 4.216799 4.675792 5.257516
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.692721 2.975823 3.300213 3.705444 4.207203 4.821338 5.652643
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.498882 2.805098 3.166415 3.633771 4.237766 5.016615 6.144011
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.344164 2.667618 3.059317 3.582283 4.285909 5.240774 6.722204
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.253501 2.600688 3.032641 3.629202 4.468323 5.676090 7.715909
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.097816 2.441404 2.875909 3.488663 4.375223 5.701755 8.078817
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.020002 2.376291 2.836476 3.503601 4.506439 6.090980 9.191598
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.943884 2.308234 2.787633 3.499999 4.609224 6.455929 10.411601
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.844874 2.204091 2.682538 3.405341 4.558274 6.550131 11.117182
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.752493 2.104184 2.577315 3.301963 4.481598 6.586021 11.719674
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.702921 2.059758 2.546998 3.308831 4.588344 6.989907 13.494301
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.669285 2.042381 2.563881 3.406838 4.897950 7.956840 18.135200
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.595272 1.964685 2.488063 3.350793 4.925803 8.346806 21.596363
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.521962 1.884407 2.403608 3.273444 4.904381 8.629706 25.395749
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.462483 1.821078 2.340878 3.227202 4.939039 9.083462 31.833870
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.411045 1.766874 2.288738 3.194458 4.997777 9.645220 42.538668
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.381375 1.742929 2.281769 3.240286 5.233727 10.883012 78.160831
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.320254 1.669616 2.192812 3.130533 5.107425 10.886675 97.519241
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.290145 1.641274 2.173825 3.147514 5.276904 12.072127 301.522227
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.258860 1.609654 2.147543 3.148271 5.410019 13.259422 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.214900 1.556976 2.084065 3.072450 5.340380 13.536305 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.172067 1.504544 2.018655 2.988231 5.237853 13.619392 NaN